Tropical Storm Milton forms in Gulf; Florida threatened again

Tropical Storm Milton formed in the Gulf of Mexico and is forecast to impact Florida as a hurricane. Satellite image courtesy National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Oct. 5 (UPI) — Tropical Storm Milton formed in the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday afternoon with the risk of “life-threatening impacts” to Florida‘s west coast, according to the National Hurricane Center, just nine days after Hurricane Helene struck the state.

Two hurricanes already were churning with no threat to land in the Atlantic Ocean: Kirk, a Category 3 storm, and Leslie, which became a hurricane late Friday.

NHC had been tracking the disturbance in the Gulf since Friday.

In the 10 a.m. update, NHC said a Tropical Depression had formed. About 2 1/2 hours later it was designated a tropical storm in an update.

Most of Florida is in NHC’s forecast cone.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency in 35 of the state’s 67 counties.

Milton, the 13th named storm of the season in the Atlantic, is projected to become a hurricane by early Monday. The system could become a major hurricane — at least a Category 3 — while it moves across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico, NHC said.

On the forecast track, the storm is forecast to stay over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through Sunday night, then move across the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Monday and Tuesday, and approach the west coast of the Florida Peninsula by midweek.

In the 3 p.m. p.m. CDT advisory, Milton had maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and was about 245 miles north-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico, and about 385 miles west of Progreso, Mexico. It was moving north-northeast at 3 mph.

“Hurricane and Storm Surge watches will likely be required for portions of Florida on Sunday,” NHC said.

Interests on the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys and the northwestern Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system, according to NHC.

Swells are forecast “to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions” by early next week, NHC said.

Significant rain also is forecast for Florida.

“Areas of heavy rainfall will also impact portions of Florida Sunday and Monday well ahead of the tropical system, with heavy rainfall more directly related to the system expected by later Tuesday through Wednesday,” the NHC said. “This rainfall brings the risk of flash, urban and areal flooding, along with minor to isolated moderate river flooding.

Rainfall of 5 to 8 inches, with localized totals up to 12 inches, are expected across Florida, including the Keys, through Wednesday night.

On Saturday South Florida already had heavy rain and flooding from a “precursor event,” according to the National Weather Service in Miami. That includes a “marginal risk” of flash flooding for portion of South Florida.

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